![]() So how do we calculate this? We'll look at a small sample bracket first. What are your odds if you had a perfect 50-50 chance of guessing every game correctly? Well that would depend on the number of total possible bracket permutations for the tournament. We'll get to advanced calculations that attempt to take knowledge into account later on, but to get a better understanding, let’s first look at the most basic calculation. But that type of knowledge is near impossible to quantify or accurately factor into an equation. For instance, before UMBC’s historic upset of Virginia last year, it was practically a guarantee that all four 1 seeds would win their matchups (they’re still 135 for 136 through the modern tournament’s history), giving you four automatically correct games to start off with. Your chances will increase with more knowledge of the current teams, the tournament’s history, and an understanding of the sport itself. 1 in 120.2 billion (if you know a little something about basketball).Here's the TL/DR version of the odds of a perfect NCAA bracket: But we’re pretty confident in saying that it won’t. Yes, it is technically possible, and even absurdly overwhelming odds don’t mean it couldn’t theoretically happen this year. BRACKETS: Print the official March Madness bracket
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